The Thinking  /  The Ledger  /  Reading 06
06 Technological × Financial × Risk #

When you buy an index, you're not buying diversification — you're increasingly buying concentration into one trade (AI/semiconductor).

Index Const Eff-N Top-10 AI-core Largest
KOSPI (Korea) 832 8 56.0% 53% SK Hynix 21%
Nifty 50 (India) 50 24 52.9% 0% HDFC 10.6%
NASDAQ-100 101 34 45.3% 57.5% Nvidia 8.0%
EURO STOXX 50 54 27 43.2% 18.1% ASML 12.7%
MSCI EM 1,170 27 40.4% 34.6% TSMC 14.7%
S&P 500 505 49 37.1% 38.2% Nvidia 7.8%
MSCI World 1,270 95 26.6% 29.7% Nvidia 5.5%
TOPIX (Japan) 1,650 111 22.3% 4.8% MUFG 3.3%

Eff-N = how many equal-weight stocks the index really behaves like. AI-core = share of the whole index in the AI complex (chips + hyperscalers).

The reading — and its limits Two exceptions prove the point — Japan (TOPIX) is genuinely diversified (behaves like 111 stocks, AI-core just 4.8%), and India (Nifty) is concentrated but in the old economy (AI-core 0% — its “tech” is IT services, the AI-disrupted category, not AI hardware). Everywhere else, buying the index increasingly means buying the same handful of AI names. KOSPI's eff-N is approximate (the uncapped Korea file is gated) but its top-2 of ~47% is exact.

Method Effective-N and concentration measures computed from each index's own full constituent file (index-owner or full issuer-holdings files). AI-core on a named-basket definition (semiconductors + hyperscalers) that crosses GICS sectors.

Computed 22 June 2026

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