The Thinking  /  The Ledger  /  Reading 05
05 Technological × Geopolitical #

Foreign money is leaving India for the AI trade it can't buy at home — ~$58bn out since 2024, while Taiwan and Korea swell.

~$58bn
Net foreign equity outflow from India since the Sept-2024 peak (~₹4.7 lakh cr), computed from NSDL.
MSCI EM weight Sept-2024 29-May-2026
Taiwan 18.77% 26.41%
South Korea 11.67% 23.06%
India 19.9% 10.87%
China 24.42% 20.36%

0 Indian companies in the MSCI EM top 10 — first time in 26 years (3 at the Sept-2024 peak: Reliance, Infosys, ICICI). TSMC alone (~14.5%) is now more than all of India.

The reading — and its limits Index weight follows market value, and ~$750bn of passive money mechanically follows the index. India isn't in the AI-hardware trade (its largest names are banks, energy, consumer), so as the world rotated to AI there was nothing in the Indian index for that money to land on. The $58bn is cumulative since the peak; the calendar-year figures (2025 ~ −$19bn, 2026 YTD ~ −$24bn) measure a different window and are not additive with it.

Method Outflow computed from NSDL depository data (net FPI equity flows, cumulative since the Sept-2024 peak). Index weights from MSCI Emerging Markets Index factsheets — Sept-2024 (archived) and 29-May-2026 — read directly.

Computed 22 June 2026

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